GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd · 8/5/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SC Freital · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

SC Freital are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 3.33 conceded, while Arnstadt are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freital hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 31.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd, while SC Freital holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SC Freital

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

SC Freital has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC FreitalLLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.67/3.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
ArnstadtD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
SC FreitalArnstadt
47.8Attack38.9
48.9Defence24.4
44.4Form23.3
48.3Power31.4
2.51xG1.07
View match centre →