SC Freiburg Wvs
Union Berlin W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Freiburg W 1-0 Union Berlin W
Original prediction
SC Freiburg W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.1% | 43.5% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.7% | 25.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.2% | 30.7% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg W
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
SC Freiburg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60