SC Freiburg Wvs
RB Leipzig W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 10/16/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Freiburg W 0-3 RB Leipzig W
Original prediction
SC Freiburg W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 35.5% | 41.6% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.0% | 25.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 38.5% | 33.3% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg W
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
SC Freiburg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00