SC Freiburg Wvs
Mainz 05 W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 9/13/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Freiburg W 3-0 Mainz 05 W
Original prediction
SC Freiburg W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 74.3% | 55.6% | -18.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.49 | 16.2% | 22.5% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 9.45 | 9.4% | 21.9% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg W
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
SC Freiburg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60