GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 3/7/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

West Ham · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SC Freiburg are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while West Ham are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and West Ham hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while West Ham holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

West Ham

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

West Ham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC FreiburgDLWDD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
West HamWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SC FreiburgWest Ham
70.0Attack53.3
53.3Defence73.3
63.3Form63.3
60.4Power63.2
1.20xG1.38
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