GGOALVIO

SC Freiburg logoSC FreiburgvsWest Ham logoWest Ham

COMPLETED

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/5/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

West Ham · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SC Freiburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while West Ham are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and West Ham hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while West Ham holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

West Ham

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

West Ham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC FreiburgWDWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
West HamWWLWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SC FreiburgWest Ham
70.0Attack53.3
53.3Defence73.3
63.3Form63.3
60.4Power63.2
1.20xG1.38
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