SC Freiburgvs
Utrecht
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/23/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
SC Freiburg are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Utrecht are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60