GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/9/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

SC Freiburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while TSC Backa Topola are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 43.0-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 17.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SC Freiburg

Probability

80.4%

Model confidence

80.4%

SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC FreiburgDLLWW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
TSC Backa TopolaWDDLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
SC FreiburgTSC Backa Topola
70.0Attack33.3
53.3Defence0.0
63.3Form5.6
60.4Power17.4
3.46xG0.89
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