GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 5/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

SC Freiburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while SC Braga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SC Freiburg

Probability

59.4%

Model confidence

59.4%

SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC FreiburgDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SC BragaDWLWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SC FreiburgSC Braga
70.0Attack83.3
53.3Defence0.0
63.3Form50.0
60.4Power47.8
2.57xG1.36
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