SC Freiburgvs
Red Bull Salzburg
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 12/11/2025, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
SC Freiburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Red Bull Salzburg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Bull Salzburg hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80