GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/11/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SC Freiburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Red Bull Salzburg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Bull Salzburg hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SC Freiburg

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

52.6%

SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC FreiburgLWWDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Red Bull SalzburgWDLLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SC FreiburgRed Bull Salzburg
70.0Attack66.7
53.3Defence50.0
63.3Form66.7
60.4Power64.8
2.18xG1.35
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