BundesligaBundesliga
Saturday, 16 May 2026Last updated 12:34
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

Home
W
41
Full time
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Away
L
Europa-Park Stadion
GoalVio prediction
55% confidence
SC Freiburg(55%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: SC Freiburg
Win probability
SC Freiburg
55%
Draw
22%
RB Leipzig
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
SC Freiburg
99
RB Leipzig
34
Defence
SC Freiburg
66
RB Leipzig
1
Momentum
SC Freiburg
100
RB Leipzig
0
Danger (xG)
SC Freiburg
3.60
RB Leipzig
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (SC Freiburg)
3.60
avg per match
xG for (RB Leipzig)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (SC Freiburg)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (RB Leipzig)
3.60
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
W
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
L

Probability breakdown

55% confidence
SC Freiburg55%
Draw22%
RB Leipzig24%

SC Freiburg leads with 55% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

SC Freiburg head into this in Bundesliga fixture at Europa-Park Stadion in mixed form (W), while RB Leipzig arrive in mixed form (L). SC Freiburg have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for RB Leipzig over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. SC Freiburg's elite attack (99/100) faces a vulnerable RB Leipzig defence (1/100), while RB Leipzig's attack is up against a solid SC Freiburg backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in SC Freiburg's favour.

SC Freiburg have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. RB Leipzig have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded per away game.

SC Freiburg have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects SC Freiburg to win with 55% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: SC Freiburg 5492%, Draw 2153%, RB Leipzig 2355%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

SC Freiburg 1Draws 00 RB Leipzig
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
16 May 2026
SC Freiburg
W41
RB Leipzig

Recent form

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

W
vs RB Leipzig
16 May 2026
41
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

L
@ SC Freiburg
16 May 2026
14

Frequently asked questions

Who will win SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig?

GoalVio's model predicts SC Freiburg to win with 55% confidence.

What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more