GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/30/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

SC Freiburg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Olympiakos Piraeus are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SC Freiburg

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC FreiburgDLWDL

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Olympiakos PiraeusWWLLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SC FreiburgOlympiakos Piraeus
70.0Attack63.3
53.3Defence46.7
63.3Form56.7
60.4Power55.7
2.44xG1.60
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