SC Freiburgvs
Maccabi Tel Aviv
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/22/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
SC Freiburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Maccabi Tel Aviv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 69.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40