SC Freiburgvs
Lens
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 2/22/2024, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
SC Freiburg are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Lens are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
62.7%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40