SC Freiburgvs
Genk
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 3/19/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
SC Freiburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Genk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
60.4%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00