SC Freiburgvs
FK Jablonec
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Freiburg 3-2 FK Jablonec
Original prediction
SC Freiburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 79.8% | 48.0% | -31.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.86 | 13.8% | 25.9% | 12.1 pts |
| Away | 14.61 | 6.5% | 26.1% | 19.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-31.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60