GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/24/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

SC Freiburg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Basel 1893 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SC Freiburg

Probability

68.6%

Model confidence

68.6%

SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC FreiburgWWLLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC Basel 1893DWWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
SC FreiburgFC Basel 1893
70.0Attack37.5
53.3Defence45.8
63.3Form25.0
60.4Power37.8
2.58xG0.94
View match centre →