Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 10:05
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

Home
W
31
Full time
Derby

Derby

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Derby33%
SC Freiburg33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
SC Freiburg
33%
Draw
33%
Derby
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
SC Freiburg
99
Derby
73
Defence
SC Freiburg
66
Derby
91
Momentum
SC Freiburg
100
Derby
100
Danger (xG)
SC Freiburg
3.60
Derby
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (SC Freiburg)
3.60
avg per match
xG for (Derby)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (SC Freiburg)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Derby)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
W
DerbyDerby
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
SC Freiburg33%
Draw33%
Derby33%

Derby leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

SC Freiburg head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Derby arrive in mixed form (W). SC Freiburg have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Derby over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — SC Freiburg (66/100) and Derby (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

SC Freiburg have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Derby have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between SC Freiburg and Derby in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: SC Freiburg 3333%, Draw 3333%, Derby 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

W
vs RB Leipzig
16 May 2026
41
Derby

Derby

W
@ Alfreton Town
17 Jul 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Derby?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs Derby?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Derby?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in SC Freiburg vs Derby?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more