SC Freiburgvs
Celta Vigo
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 4/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
SC Freiburg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Celta Vigo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60