SC Freiburgvs
Borussia Mönchengladbach
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 9/12/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
Original prediction
SC Freiburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 56.1% | 55.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 23.1% | 22.9% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.58 | 20.8% | 22.1% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60