SC FreiburgvsAston Villa

SC Freiburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Aston Villa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 79.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.