SC Delhivs
ATK Mohun Bagan
COMPLETEDIndia · Indian Super League · 10/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ATK Mohun Bagan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Delhi 1-2 ATK Mohun Bagan
Original prediction
ATK Mohun Bagan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.32 | 11.0% | 31.7% | 20.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.60 | 19.8% | 26.1% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 1.32 | 69.3% | 42.2% | -27.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
ATK Mohun Bagan
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
ATK Mohun Bagan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40