GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 4/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SC Braga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SC Freiburg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SC Freiburg

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC BragaLWDWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SC FreiburgLLWWW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SC BragaSC Freiburg
83.3Attack70.0
0.0Defence53.3
50.0Form63.3
47.8Power60.4
1.60xG2.19
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