GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nottingham Forest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SC Braga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nottingham Forest are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nottingham Forest hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Nottingham Forest holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nottingham Forest

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Nottingham Forest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC BragaWDDLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nottingham ForestDWLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SC BragaNottingham Forest
83.3Attack50.0
0.0Defence66.7
50.0Form56.3
47.8Power57.9
1.15xG1.55
View match centre →