GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/26/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SC Braga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Maccabi Tel Aviv are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 69.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Maccabi Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC BragaWLDDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Maccabi Tel AvivWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SC BragaMaccabi Tel Aviv
83.3Attack75.0
0.0Defence66.7
50.0Form75.0
47.8Power69.7
1.42xG1.91
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