Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lazio · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
SC Braga are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lazio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lazio hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lazio holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lazio
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Lazio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20