Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Braga · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: SC Braga 0-0 Gent, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Braga 2-0 Gent
Original prediction
SC Braga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 49.2% | 43.0% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 27.3% | 31.1% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 23.5% | 25.9% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Projected Score
SC Braga 0–0 Gent
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
SC Braga
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
SC Braga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SC BragaLLLDW
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GentDWWWD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SC BragaGent
38.1Attack28.6
85.7Defence85.7
66.7Form61.9
63.7Power62.3
0.90xG0.64