Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Braga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
SC Braga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Genk are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Braga hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Braga holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Braga
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
SC Braga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80