GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/23/2025, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SC Braga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FK Crvena Zvezda are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Crvena Zvezda hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 56.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC BragaDWLWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
FK Crvena ZvezdaWWLWD

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SC BragaFK Crvena Zvezda
83.3Attack26.7
0.0Defence76.7
50.0Form56.7
47.8Power56.4
0.93xG0.83
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