GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/23/2024, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SC Braga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SC Braga are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bodo/Glimt are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bodo/Glimt hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Braga holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SC Braga

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

SC Braga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC BragaLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Bodo/GlimtDDWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SC BragaBodo/Glimt
83.3Attack58.3
0.0Defence47.9
50.0Form47.9
47.8Power52.4
1.83xG1.78
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