SC Braga Bvs
Tirsense
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Braga B · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Braga B 3-2 Tirsense
Original prediction
SC Braga B
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.8% | 41.4% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.5% | 28.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.6% | 29.9% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
SC Braga B
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
SC Braga B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80