GGOALVIO

Portugal · Liga 3 · 8/12/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SC Braga B are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Lusitânia Lourosa are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lusitânia Lourosa hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Liga 3, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.8%

Model confidence

34.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC Braga BLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Lusitânia LourosaDWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
SC Braga BLusitânia Lourosa
48.4Attack54.8
61.3Defence63.4
52.7Form54.8
54.8Power58.0
1.13xG1.17
View match centre →