Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Såby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Såby are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Roskilde are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Roskilde hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the DBU Pokalen, while Såby holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Såby
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
7.6%
Såby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20