Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Casertana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Savoia are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Casertana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Casertana hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Serie C - Girone C, while Casertana holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Casertana
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
14.8%
Casertana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20