Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saumur · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Saumur 0-0 Tarbes
Original prediction
Saumur
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Saumur
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Saumur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SaumurDLDLD
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TarbesL
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
SaumurTarbes
47.4Attack50.0
53.8Defence50.0
43.6Form50.0
49.7Power50.0
1.41xG1.18