Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saue · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Saue are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Viimsi are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Saue hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Cup, while Saue holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Saue
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Saue has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.50/2.50
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40