Saudi Arabiavs
United Arab Emirates
COMPLETEDWorld · Gulf Cup of Nations · 10/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saudi Arabia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Saudi Arabia 2-0 United Arab Emirates
Original prediction
Saudi Arabia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 38.3% | 35.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 32.0% | 28.9% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.7% | 35.1% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Saudi Arabia
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Saudi Arabia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 1.20/0.00
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20