Saudi Arabiavs
Kuwait
COMPLETEDWorld · Gulf Cup of Nations · 9/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saudi Arabia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Saudi Arabia 1-0 Kuwait
Original prediction
Saudi Arabia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 71.1% | 45.8% | -25.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.93 | 18.5% | 26.4% | 7.9 pts |
| Away | 8.76 | 10.4% | 27.8% | 17.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Saudi Arabia
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Saudi Arabia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00