Satunvs
Khon Kaen United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khon Kaen United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Satun 1-0 Khon Kaen United
Original prediction
Khon Kaen United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.6% | 34.5% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.9% | 28.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.78 | 32.6% | 36.9% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Khon Kaen United
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Khon Kaen United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.75/2.25
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00