Satunvs
Kanchanaburi
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Satun · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Satun 2-4 Kanchanaburi
Original prediction
Satun
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.95 | 30.6% | 39.0% | 8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.2% | 28.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.2% | 32.5% | -8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Satun
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Satun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SatunNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
KanchanaburiLDLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SatunKanchanaburi
50.0Attack42.2
50.0Defence49.0
50.0Form37.3
50.0Power44.4
1.57xG1.06