Satunvs
Chanthaburi
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Satun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Satun 0-0 Chanthaburi
Original prediction
Satun
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.0% | 38.3% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.7% | 26.6% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.3% | 35.1% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Satun
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Satun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SatunDWLWW
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChanthaburiWDLWD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SatunChanthaburi
72.2Attack44.4
44.4Defence72.2
55.6Form44.4
58.0Power53.9
1.46xG1.29