Torneo Promocional AmateurTorneo Promocional Amateur
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:02
SAT Moreno

SAT Moreno

Home
30
Full time
Provincial

Provincial

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
SAT Moreno(39%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
SAT Moreno
39%
Draw
35%
Provincial
26%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Provincial)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Provincial)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ProvincialProvincial
W

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
SAT Moreno39%
Draw35%
Provincial26%

SAT Moreno leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

SAT Moreno head into this in Torneo Promocional Amateur fixture in unknown form, while Provincial arrive in mixed form (W).

SAT Moreno have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Provincial have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 4.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between SAT Moreno and Provincial in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects SAT Moreno to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: SAT Moreno 3897%, Draw 3500%, Provincial 2603%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Provincial

Provincial

W
@ Juventud de Bernal
14 Jul 2026
40

Frequently asked questions

Who will win SAT Moreno vs Provincial?

GoalVio's model predicts SAT Moreno to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for SAT Moreno vs Provincial?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in SAT Moreno vs Provincial?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in SAT Moreno vs Provincial?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more