GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/20/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SAT Moreno · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

SAT Moreno are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Provincial are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 46.2-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.0% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while SAT Moreno holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SAT Moreno

Probability

85.0%

Model confidence

85.0%

SAT Moreno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAT MorenoLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ProvincialDDDLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
SAT MorenoProvincial
50.0Attack23.3
86.7Defence26.7
80.0Form23.3
72.9Power26.7
2.64xG0.28
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