GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/24/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SAT Moreno are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nautico Hacoaj are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAT MorenoDLLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Nautico HacoajDDWDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SAT MorenoNautico Hacoaj
50.0Attack33.3
86.7Defence84.8
80.0Form54.5
72.9Power58.9
0.81xG0.42
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