GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/21/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SAT Moreno · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

SAT Moreno are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Juventud de Bernal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 54.4-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 18.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.4% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while SAT Moreno holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SAT Moreno

Probability

85.4%

Model confidence

85.4%

SAT Moreno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAT MorenoDWWLD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Juventud de BernalDLLLW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SAT MorenoJuventud de Bernal
50.0Attack20.0
86.7Defence6.7
80.0Form13.3
72.9Power18.4
2.67xG0.27
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