GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/11/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SAT Moreno are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Estrella Del Sur are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAT MorenoLWWDW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Estrella Del SurWWWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SAT MorenoEstrella Del Sur
50.0Attack51.9
86.7Defence76.5
80.0Form71.6
72.9Power67.7
0.79xG0.67
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