GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 7/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SAT Moreno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

SAT Moreno are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Estrella de Berisso are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.4% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while SAT Moreno holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SAT Moreno

Probability

56.7%

Model confidence

19.4%

SAT Moreno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAT MorenoLWWWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Estrella de BerissoLDDWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SAT MorenoEstrella de Berisso
50.0Attack43.3
86.7Defence60.0
80.0Form46.7
72.9Power50.2
1.38xG0.53
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