GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/8/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SAT Moreno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

SAT Moreno are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Estrella de Berisso are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while SAT Moreno holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SAT Moreno

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

SAT Moreno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAT MorenoWDDWD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Estrella de BerissoLLLWD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SAT MorenoEstrella de Berisso
50.0Attack43.3
86.7Defence60.0
80.0Form46.7
72.9Power50.2
1.38xG0.53
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