GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/8/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SAT Moreno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

SAT Moreno are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Estrella de Berisso are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while SAT Moreno holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SAT Moreno

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

SAT Moreno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAT MorenoWLDLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella de BerissoWWDDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SAT MorenoEstrella de Berisso
50.0Attack43.3
86.7Defence60.0
80.0Form46.7
72.9Power50.2
1.38xG0.53
View match centre →