GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/29/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SAT Moreno are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportivo Metalurgico are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 69.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.3% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

22.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAT MorenoWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MetalurgicoLWWDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SAT MorenoDeportivo Metalurgico
50.0Attack60.0
86.7Defence76.7
80.0Form73.3
72.9Power69.2
0.78xG0.78
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